Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAA38332
Spot LED 7W GU10 6500K lumière blanche - INGELEC
longtail
3P
LUMINAIRE D'INTERIEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
6
≈ 3.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-03-25
AAAAA38332
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 510 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Spot LED 7W GU10 6500K lumière blanche - INGELEC · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 81 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 36.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 129.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 29.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 141.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 509.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |