Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38302
Diffuseur double usage 30 nuits avec recharges pastille et liquide - ZENTEK
longtail
1P
INSECTICIDE - RATICIDE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
132
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
24
≈ 90.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-03
AAAAA38302
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Diffuseur double usage 30 nuits avec recharges pastille et liquide - ZENTEK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.42 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |