Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38297
Diffuseur électrique liquide moustiques + recharge liquide x45 nuits - RAID
longtail
3P
INSECTICIDE - RATICIDE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 175.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
303
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAAA38297
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Diffuseur électrique liquide moustiques + recharge liquide x45 nuits - RAID · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +175.0% · on-hand 303 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 26 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 79.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |