Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA32762
Souris sans fil Z136
longtail
1P
CLAVIER - SOURIS - WEBCAM
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 51.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
35
≈ 20.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 39
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAAA32762
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 320 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Souris sans fil Z136 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -51.9% · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1253 days of history, 300 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 26.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 132.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 57.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 320.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.4K |