Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAA25228
Ventilateur - AIR MONSTER VENTILATEUR 15855-R MP
longtail
3P
TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+66.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
31
≈ 63.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 463
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAAA25228
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 97 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ventilateur - AIR MONSTER VENTILATEUR 15855-R MP · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1085 days of history, 17 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 96.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 44.7K |