Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA23127
Mini Caméra - A9 - HD 1080P - Wifi - Vision Nocturne - Détection de Mouvement
longtail
3P
CAMESCOPE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+133.3%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
7
≈ 4.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 62
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAA23127
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 77 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini Caméra - A9 - HD 1080P - Wifi - Vision Nocturne - Détection de Mouvement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1057 days of history, 121 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 30.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 77.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.8K |