Demand Forecast

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Lingettes humides Pampers pour bébé à l'aloe vera - 64 lingettes
SKU · AAAAA22222

Lingettes humides Pampers pour bébé à l'aloe vera - 64 lingettes

longtail 1P HYGIENE BEBE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+25.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

14
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 18
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAAA22222

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 113 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lingettes humides Pampers pour bébé à l'aloe vera - 64 lingettes · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 14 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1162 days of history, 129 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months32.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)113.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.0K