Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA22083
Dentifrice - CREST - 3D White Deluxe - 75ml - Blanchissant - Menthe - Sans conservateur
midtail
1P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 38.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-30.4%
vs same 4w last year (23 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAA22083
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 159 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Dentifrice - CREST - 3D White Deluxe - 75ml - Blanchissant - Menthe - Sans conservateur · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -38.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1134 days of history, 249 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 29.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 62.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 159.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |