Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA22051
Brosse à dents électrique vitality 3D white - ORAL-B
midtail
3P
SANTE - HYGIENE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
35
▼ 30.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
52
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 197
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAA22051
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 444 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse à dents électrique vitality 3D white - ORAL-B · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 35 units, trending down -30.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1253 days of history, 593 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 35 units · prev 4w = 50 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 18.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 68.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 234.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 29.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 111.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 443.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 87.5K |