Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA22051
Brosse à dents électrique vitality 3D white - ORAL-B
midtail
1P
SANTE - HYGIENE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
60
▼ 24.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+233.3%
vs same 4w last year (18 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 191
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAAA22051
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 390 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse à dents électrique vitality 3D white - ORAL-B · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 60 units, trending down -24.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1197 days of history, 548 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 60 units · prev 4w = 79 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 24.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 83.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 167.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 40.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 162.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 390.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 12.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 74.7K |