Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAA21882
Venus Rasoir Système Comfort Glide Coconut 5 Lames - 1 Rasoir + 1 Recharge
longtail
1P
RASAGE - EPILATION
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
10
≈ 5.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 100
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAA21882
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Venus Rasoir Système Comfort Glide Coconut 5 Lames - 1 Rasoir + 1 Recharge · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1134 days of history, 85 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.1K |