Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21401
Ecouteurs filaire avec microphone et fil pour iPhone - Blanc
midtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-93.8%
vs same 4w last year (32 units)
Current stock
26
≈ 4.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA21401
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 198 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ecouteurs filaire avec microphone et fil pour iPhone - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1176 days of history, 335 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 198.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.8K |