Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21394
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▼ 52.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-72.2%
vs same 4w last year (72 units)
Current stock
570
≈ 35.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA21394
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 407 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending down -52.4% · on-hand 570 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1169 days of history, 2,037 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.49 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 42 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 15.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 57.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 143.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 24.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 131.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 407.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.5K |