Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21394
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 600.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9,982
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAA21394
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 392 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +600.0% · on-hand 9981 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1218 days of history, 1,777 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 1 week → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 12.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 48.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 175.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 21.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 90.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 392.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.8K |