Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21394
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9,950
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAAAA21394
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 2182 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs TWS - M10 - Bluetooth 5.1 - Réduction de bruit CVC8.0 - Autonomie 4-6h - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 9950 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1274 days of history, 1,572 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.54 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 2 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 828.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 2181.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 76.8K |