Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21386
Nia Casque Bluetooth Q1 V4.2
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
1,006
≈ 1181.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 70
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-23
AAAAA21386
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Nia Casque Bluetooth Q1 V4.2 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 1006 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1127 days of history, 43 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.1K |