Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA21086
URGO - Bande De Gaze 3*5cm
midtail
3P
SOIN
Last 4 weeks demand
62
▲ 785.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+31.9%
vs same 4w last year (47 units)
Current stock
294
≈ 68.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 1
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA21086
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 155 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
URGO - Bande De Gaze 3*5cm · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 62 units, trending up +785.7% · on-hand 294 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1169 days of history, 340 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.41 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 62 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 50.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 154.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 231 |