Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA18623
Doppel herz Men Aktiv 30cap
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
35
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAA18623
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 201 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Doppel herz Men Aktiv 30cap · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 35 units, stable demand · on-hand 92 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1239 days of history, 368 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 35 units · prev 4w = 35 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 35.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 113.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 200.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.9K |