Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA18526
Biofar Ace Selenium-Zinc 20 capsules
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+700.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
353
≈ 357.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAA18526
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Biofar Ace Selenium-Zinc 20 capsules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 353 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1148 days of history, 116 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 76.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.9K |