Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA18524
Biofar 12 vitamine 20 capsules
midtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 51.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+60.0%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)
Current stock
900
≈ 211.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA18524
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 173 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Biofar 12 vitamine 20 capsules · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -51.0% · on-hand 900 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1183 days of history, 503 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.48 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 49 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 22.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 13.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 172.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |