Demand Forecast

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Durex Pleasure Me 12 Préservatifs
SKU · AAAAA18382

Durex Pleasure Me 12 Préservatifs

longtail 3P SEXUALITE - GROSSESSE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

25
▲ 316.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+25.0%
vs same 4w last year (20 units)

Current stock

161
≈ 61.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 56
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAAA18382

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 115 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Durex Pleasure Me 12 Préservatifs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 25 units, trending up +316.7% · on-hand 161 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1071 days of history, 161 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 25 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months36.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)35.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)115.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.4K