Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA18266
Lingettes - Gilbert - B70 - Biodégradables - Sans parfum - Hypoallergéniques
longtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
51
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-09
AAAAA18266
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lingettes - Gilbert - B70 - Biodégradables - Sans parfum - Hypoallergéniques · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 61 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1001 days of history, 55 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 5 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |