Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA18203
Oral-B Brosse à Dent Kids 3-5 ans Souple
longtail
1P + 3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
145
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
90
≈ 970.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 18
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-10-10
AAAAA18203
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 29 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oral-B Brosse à Dent Kids 3-5 ans Souple · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 90 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1050 days of history, 8 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.26 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 29.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 527 |