Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA17716
Crème Solaire - ISISPHARMA - Uveblock 80 - SPF80 - 40ml - Hypoallergénique
longtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
5
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+150.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
9
≈ 13.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 130
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAA17716
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème Solaire - ISISPHARMA - Uveblock 80 - SPF80 - 40ml - Hypoallergénique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, stable demand · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (924 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.6K |