Demand Forecast

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Complément Alimentaire - Forcapil - Cheveux et Ongles - 60 Gélules - Renforce la croissance - Sans conservateur
SKU · AAAAA17520

Complément Alimentaire - Forcapil - Cheveux et Ongles - 60 Gélules - Renforce la croissance - Sans conservateur

longtail 3P COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-63.6%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)

Current stock

11
≈ 8.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 191
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01

AAAAA17520

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Complément Alimentaire - Forcapil - Cheveux et Ongles - 60 Gélules - Renforce la croissance - Sans conservateur · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 11 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1057 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)49.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 9.5K