Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA17369
HOUSE PLUS LAUNDRY DRYER LD-2001 17,5 M MAX 10 KG
longtail
1P + 3P
MATERIEL SOIN DU LINGE
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▲ 225.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
125
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
26
≈ 8.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 115
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAA17369
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 167 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HOUSE PLUS LAUNDRY DRYER LD-2001 17,5 M MAX 10 KG · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending up +225.0% · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1029 days of history, 215 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.52 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 25.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 85.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 167.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.3K |