Demand Forecast

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Verres Luminarc Islande High Ball 15 cl – Coffret de 6 Pièces
SKU · AAAAA04055

Verres Luminarc Islande High Ball 15 cl – Coffret de 6 Pièces

longtail 1P SERVICE DE TABLE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

108
≈ 196.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-19

AAAAA04055

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Verres Luminarc Islande High Ball 15 cl – Coffret de 6 Pièces · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 108 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1036 days of history, 77 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)31.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)121.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.1K