Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA04055
Verres Luminarc Islande High Ball 15 cl – Coffret de 6 Pièces
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 140.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
511
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
92
≈ 145.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAAAA04055
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 173 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres Luminarc Islande High Ball 15 cl – Coffret de 6 Pièces · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +140.0% · on-hand 93 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1092 days of history, 94 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 173.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |