Demand Forecast

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Spray effaceurs de racine Le noir Magic Retouch L'OREAL PARIS - 75 ml
SKU · 3600523193288

Spray effaceurs de racine Le noir Magic Retouch L'OREAL PARIS - 75 ml

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-16.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

17
≈ 15.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

3600523193288

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Spray effaceurs de racine Le noir Magic Retouch L'OREAL PARIS - 75 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 17 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1015 days of history, 80 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks5.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months16.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)61.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.8K